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Một tín hiệu có thể kỳ vọng giảm áp lực bán ròng của khối ngoại trên TTCK Việt Nam

Key Points

  • Foreign investors continue net selling on the Vietnamese stock market, reaching 17.5 trillion VND YTD as of March 10, 2025.
  • Both ETF and active funds are withdrawing, with ETFs withdrawing 1.772 trillion VND and active funds 1.658 trillion VND in the first two months of 2025.
  • Foreign ownership is at its lowest since 2015 (13.1%), potentially easing selling pressure.
  • SSI suggests focusing on sectors attracting strong domestic cash flow.

Detailed Summary

  • Foreign investors continue to sell on the Vietnamese stock market, with brief buying spurts. Net selling has reached 17.5 trillion VND year-to-date as of March 10, 2025.
  • Both ETFs and active funds contribute to the selling pressure. Globally, investors are cautious with equities, favoring bonds and currencies.
  • In Vietnam, ETF withdrawals totaled 1.772 trillion VND in the first two months of 2025, representing 3% of their total assets. Active funds also withdrew 1.658 trillion VND.
  • Foreign ownership is down to 13.1%, the lowest since 2015. This, combined with a weakening DXY, could limit further selling pressure.
  • However, global capital still favors developed markets. Vietnam needs stronger measures to attract foreign investment back.
  • SSI believes the current market trend is stable and expects increased domestic investment. Factors supporting this include low valuations, rapid cash flow rotation between sectors, and government growth initiatives.
  • These initiatives include protective tariffs on steel, resolving legal issues for residential real estate projects, implementing the KRX system, and a draft law amending the Law on Credit Institutions.
  • SSI Research identifies attractive valuations, potential market upgrades, and government support as key growth drivers. Tariff risks exist but are lower than in other countries.

Conclusions

  • Despite ongoing foreign selling, low foreign ownership and government efforts provide some optimism.
  • Investors should focus on sectors attracting strong domestic cash flow.
  • Vietnam needs further development to attract significant foreign investment back to the market.
Created at: 3/11/2025, 1:04:20 PM